Pavel K. Baev

Research Professor

Pavel K. Baev
Mobile phone: +47 90 65 71 63

Research Interests

Russian military reform; Russia's conflict management in the Caucasus and Central Asia; energy interests in Russia's foreign and security policy; Russia's relations with Europe and NATO.


​​​​​​I publish a blog on Arctic Politics and Russia's Ambitions on Facebook.

Languages spoken:

Russian; English

Working experience:

After graduating from the MGU in September 1979, I found myself 'behind bars', working as a researcher, and then senior researcher, in a 'post-box': a Research Institute of the USSR Ministry of Defence.
It was only in August 1988 that I left it to join a newly-created Institute of Europe in USSR Academy of Sciences, where I worked as a head of section for military-political studies until October 1992.
That month I became a PRIOite. Since then, besides holding the position of senior researcher, I was from July 1995 to December 2001, the Editor of Security Dialogue, PRIO's policy-oriented quarterly journal. In 2000-2004, I was the leader of PRIO Foreign and Security Policies program; in 2002-2005, I was the head of a working group at the Center for the Study of Civil War (CSCW); in 1999-2005, I was a member of PRIO Board. In August 2005, I applied for being evaluated for professorial competence (Forsker 1), and in March 2006, the committee of peers produced a positive conclusion, making me a Research Professor. In May 2011, Strobe Talbott invited me to become a Senior Non-Resident Fellow at the Brookings Institutions, a privilege I value greatly. Since July 2013, I am also a Senior Associate Fellow at the Institut Francais des Relations Internationales (IFRI), affiliated with the Russia/NIS Centre. 


It was my luck that got me from a 'regular' Moscow school (no. 648) to the Geographical Department of the Moscow State University (MGU) in September 1974. In June 1979, I graduated with MA in Political Geography (that 'B' in the last exam in 'Scientific Communism' meant no cum laude or 'red diploma'). In September 1983, I was accepted into a doctoral track in the Institute of USA and Canada, USSR Academy of Sciences - and in May 1988, I received my PhD in International Relations.


PRIO started tracking events online in 2007. This listing is not complete. Past events may be mentioned in our news archive.


The following publications are specific to the Centre for the Study of Civil War. A more complete list may be available at

All Publications

Peer-reviewed Journal Article

Baev, Pavel K. (2010) Re-examining the 'Colour Revolutions': The Turn of the Tide from Belgrade to Ulan Bator, Comparative Social Research 27: 249–276.
Baev, Pavel K. (2007) Defining Civil War by Examining Post-Soviet Conflicts, Terrorism and Political Violence 19(2): 247–268.
Baev, Pavel K. (2006) Russian Perceptions of State Failure and Russia's Involvement with Fragile States, Canadian Foreign Policy 13(2): 167–180.
Baev, Pavel K. (2003) Examining the "Terrorism-War" Dichotomy in the "Russia-Chechnya" Case, Contemporary Security Policy 24(2): 29–46.

Book Chapter

Baev, Pavel K. (2008) Russian super-giant in its lair: Gazprom's role in domestic affairs, in Europe's Energy Security: Gazprom's Dominance and Caspian. Washington DC: (59–70).
Baev, Pavel K.; Christoph Zürcher & Jan Koehler (2005) Civil Wars in the Caucasus, in Understanding Civil War: Evidence and Analysis. Washington: (259–298).
Baev, Pavel K. (2003) Civil Wars in Georgia: Corruption Breeds Violence, in Potentials of Disorder. Manchester: (127–144).

Non-refereed Journal Article

Baev, Pavel K. (2006) Russian Quasi-federalism and Geogia's Non-existent Territorial Integrity, CACI Analyst 8(9): 3–5.

Popular Article

Baev, Pavel K. (2008) Russia values oil more than war, Moscow times, 22 August.
Baev, Pavel K. (2008) Russian 'Tandemocracy' Stumbles into a War, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 11 August.
Baev, Pavel K. (2008) Presidential Transplantation in Russia Enters Final Phase, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 4 February.
Baev, Pavel K. (2008) Putin and Medvedev Open the Bulgarian Gate for Gazprom, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 22 January.
Baev, Pavel K. (2008) Will Medvedev's Ascension Solve Gazprom's Problems?, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 14 January.
Baev, Pavel K. (2007) Moscow is Reminded that 'War on Terror' is Not Over, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 22 January.
Baev, Pavel K. (2005) Putin's Russia as an Uncertain Proposition, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 14 November.
Baev, Pavel K. (2005) Lacking Substance, Moscow Prefers to Talk Terrorism, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 19 September.

Conference Paper

Baev, Pavel K. (2007) The Targets of Terrorism and the Aims of Counter-Terrorism in Moscow, Chechnya and the North Caucasus, presented at the 48th Annual Metting of the International Studies Association, Chicago, IL, 28 February–3 March.
Baev, Pavel K. (2005) Defining Civil War by Examining Post-Soviet Conflict, presented at Identifying Self-reparing Dynamics in Post-Conflict Societies: The Caucasus and Central Asia, Chicago, 2–5 February.
Baev, Pavel K. (2005) Instrumentalizing Counter-Terrorism for Regime Consolidation in Russia, presented at the 10th Annual Convention of the Association for the Study of Nationalities (ASN), New York, 14–16 April.

Book Review

Baev, Pavel K. (2007) Review of Statehood and Security: Georgia after the Rose Revolution, in Slavic Review 66(2): 341–342.