Henrik Urdal

Director

Email: urdal@prio.org
Mobile phone: +47 92 04 78 41
Twitter: @h_urdal

Research Interests

'Armed Conflict and Maternal Health in Sub-Saharan Africa', FRIPRO Young Researcher Talent Project, Headed by Gudrun Østby.

'Conflict Trends'. Collaborative project with the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Project Director.

'Youth Exclusion and Political Violence', project funded by the Research Council of Norway (2008-2012).

'Security Implications of Climate Change', project funded by the Research Council of Norway (2009-2012). Director of sub-project on Urban Violence.

General research interests:
* Demography and political violence
* Climate change, environmental change and armed conflict
* The politics of census-taking
* Demographic consequences of armed conflict

Background

Languages spoken:

Norwegian, English

Working experience:

2017 - : Director at Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)

2017: Research Director, Conditions of Violence and Peace

2013- Research Professor, PRIO

2011-12 Research Fellow, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University.

2007- Senior Researcher, Centre for the Study of Civil War, PRIO.

2010 - 2017: Editor, Journal of Peace Research (JPR). Associate Editor (2006-2010), Editorial Committee Member (2004-2006), Book Review Editor 2004-05.

2002-2006 PhD Candidate and Research Fellow, Centre for the Study of Civil War, PRIO.

2005-06 Visiting Scholar at the East-West Center, Honolulu, Hawaii.

1999
Investigations Assistant on the 'Population Project', The UN International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY), Office of the Prosecutor. The Hague, Netherlands.

1996-98
Secretary General, Socialist Youth League (Sosialistisk Ungdom) of Norway.

1995 (summer)
Research Assistant, Statistics Norway, Division for Social and Demographic Research.

Education:

PhD in Political Science, University of Oslo, 2007.

Cand. Polit., Political Science, University of Oslo 2002. Courses in African politics, Statistics, Demography, Institutional theory and Nation, state and nationalism.

Cand. mag., University of Oslo 1995. Courses in Middle East/North African Studies, Demography, Political Science, Economics

PRIO Projects

Finished:

Climate Changes, Natural Disasters and the Risk of Violence in India
Conflict Prediction
Demography and Domestic Armed Conflict (project leader)
Education and Armed Conflict
Security Implications of Climate Change
Training and Mobility Network for the Economic Analysis of Conflict (project leader)
Youth Exclusion and Political Violence (project leader)

Events

11 - 12 Sep 2012 – Climate and Conflict: Past Evidence and Research Gaps
16 - 17 Dec 2010 – Environmental Factors of Civil War
Fri, 10 Dec 2010 08:30-16:00 – Gender and Conflict Research
04 - 05 Nov 2010 – Political Institutions and Conflict Resolution
Thu, 04 December 2008 – Youth Exclusion and Political Violence: Breaking the Link and Engaging Young People Positively in Development
Mon, 02 Jun 2008 13:15-15:30 – Knowing the Number of Dead and Missing Persons in Armed Conflict
Mon, 05 Mar 2007 14:00-15:00 – Demography and Conflict
Sat, 10 February 2007 – Doctoral Defence by Henrik Urdal
Tue, 21 June 2005 – Human Security and Climate Change

PRIO started tracking events online in 2007. This listing is not complete. Past events may be mentioned in our news archive.

Publications

The following publications are specific to the Centre for the Study of Civil War. A more complete list may be available at www.prio.org.

All Publications

Peer-reviewed Journal Article

Strand, Håvard; Henrik Urdal; Håvard Hegre; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Joakim Karlsen (2013) Predicting Armed Conflict, 2010–2050, International Studies Quarterly 57(2): 250–270.

Urdal, Henrik & Kristian Hoelscher (2012) Explaining Urban Social Disorder and Violence: An Empirical Study of Event Data from Asian and Sub-Saharan African Cities, International Interactions 38(4): 512–528.

Urdal, Henrik; S. Mansoob Murshed; Håvard Strand; Mohammad Zulfan Tadjoeddin & Gudrun Østby (2011) Population Pressure, Horizontal Inequality and Political Violence: A Disaggregated Study of Indonesian Provinces, 1990–2003, Journal of Development Studies 47(3): 377–398.

Theisen, Ole Magnus; Henrik Urdal; Nils Petter Gleditsch & Halvard Buhaug (2010) Klimakriger? En vurdering av det faglige grunnlaget [Climate Wars? An Assessment of the Scientific Foundation], Norsk Statsvitenskapelig Tidsskrift 26(4): 297–320.

Paulson, Julia; Henrik Urdal & Bilal Barakat (2010) The Youth, Transition, and Conflict in the Middle East and North Africa.

Urdal, Henrik (2008) Population, Resources, and Political Violence: A Subnational Study of India, 1956–2002, Journal of Conflict Resolution 52(4): 590–617.

Raleigh, Clionadh & Henrik Urdal (2007) Climate Change, Environmental Degradation and Armed Conflict, Political Geography 26(6): 674–694.

Urdal, Henrik (2006) A Clash of Generations? Youth Bulges and Political Violence, International Studies Quarterly 50(3): 607–630.

Urdal, Henrik (2005) People vs. Malthus: Population Pressure, Environmental Degradation, and Armed Conflict Revisited, Journal of Peace Research 42(4): 417–434.

Lyngstad, Torkild Hovde; Helge Brunborg & Henrik Urdal (2003) Accounting for Genocide: How Many Were Killed in Srebrenica?, European Journal of Population 19(3): 229–248.

PhD Thesis

Urdal, Henrik (2007) Demography and Domestic Armed Conflict. PhD thesis, Department of Political Science, University of Oslo, Oslo.

Book Chapter

Malmberg, Bo & Henrik Urdal (2016) Ungdomspucklar och krig [Youth bulges and war], in Krig/Fred: Riksbankens Jubileumsfonds Årbok 2016/2017. Stockholm: Makadam Förlag (67–90).

Urdal, Henrik (2011) Demographic Aspects of Climate Change, Environmental Degradation and Armed Conflict, in Population Distribution, Urbanization, Internal Migration and Development: an International Perspective. New York: United Nations Population Division (243–263).

Urdal, Henrik (2011) Youth Bulges and Violence, in Monica Duffy Toft, ed., Political Demography: Interests, Conflict, and Institutions. Boulder, CO: Paradigm (117–132).

Urdal, Henrik (2007) The Demographics of Political Violence: Youth Bulges, Insecurity and Conflict, in Too Poor for Peace? Global Poverty, Conflict and Security in the 21st Century. Washington, DC: (90–100).

Urdal, Henrik; Helge Brunborg & Ewa Tabeau (2006) Introduction, in The Demography of Armed Conflict. Berlin: (1–16).

Edited Volume

Tabeau, Ewa; Henrik Urdal; & Helge Brunborg, eds, (2006) The Demography of Armed Conflict. Dordrecht: Springer. International Studies in Population.

Non-refereed Journal Article

Gleditsch, Nils Petter & Henrik Urdal (2010) Grønn fred? Nobelkomiteens miljøpriser [Green Peace? The Environmental Prizes of the Nobel Committee], Internasjonal Politikk 68(4): 617–627.

Gleditsch, Nils Petter & Henrik Urdal (2009) Svar til Neumann [Reply to Neumann], Internasjonal Politikk 67(2): 309–.

Urdal, Henrik; Håvard Strand; Halvard Buhaug; Scott Gates & Håvard Hegre (2009) Nils Petter Gleditsch: A Lifetime Achiever, European Political Science 8(1): 79–89.

Urdal, Henrik & Nils Petter Gleditsch (2008) Om topptidsskrifter i internasjonal politikk [On Top Journals in International Relations], Internasjonal Politikk 66(4): 699–702.

Brunborg, Helge & Henrik Urdal (2005) The Demography of Conflict and Violence: An Introduction, Journal of Peace Research 42(4): 371–374.

Urdal, Henrik (2005) Defusing the Population Bomb: Is Security a Rationale for Reducing Global Population Growth?, Environmental Change and Security Program Report(11): 5–11.

Conference Paper

Hoelscher, Kristian; Halvard Buhaug & Henrik Urdal (2012) Does Urbanization Lead to More Peace? Rural-Urban Age Structure Differentials and Civil War, presented at The Annual convention of the International Studies Association, San Diego, CA, 1–4 April.

Buhaug, Halvard & Henrik Urdal (2010) An Urbanization Bomb? Population Growth and Social Disorder in Cities, presented at DKNVS 250 Anniversary Conference on Climate Change and Security, Trondheim, 21 June.

Urdal, Henrik (2010) Civil War and Gender Inequalities in Health: The Influence of War on Fertility, presented at International Studies Association Annual Conference, New Orleans, LO, 17 February.

Buhaug, Halvard & Henrik Urdal (2010) An Urbanization Bomb? Population Growth and Social Disorder in CitiesHonolulu, HI, 10 March.

Buhaug, Halvard & Henrik Urdal (2009) Will Climate Change Lead to more Urban Violence? Urbanization, Urban Environmental Problems, and Social Disorder in Cities, presented at 50th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, New York, NY, 15–18 February.

Malmberg, Bo & Henrik Urdal (2009) Demography and the Changing Global Geography of Internal Armed ConflictNew York, NY, 15–18 February.

Urdal, Henrik (2008) Demographic Aspects of Climate Change, Environmental Degradation and Armed ConflictThe United Nations Population Division, New York, 21–23 January.

Urdal, Henrik & Bilal Barakat (2008) Breaking the Waves? Does Education Mediate the Relationship Between Youth Bulges and Political ViolenceSan Francisco, CA, 26–29 March.

Hegre, Håvard; Henrik Urdal & Håvard Strand (2008) The Future of Armed Conflict: Predicting the Incidence of Conflict, 2007-2030San Francisco, CA, 26–29 March.

Urdal, Henrik & Håvard Strand (2008) Youth Bulges, Democratic Elections, and Political InstabilitySan Francisco, CA, 26–29 March.

Urdal, Henrik & Kristian Hoelscher (2008) Urban Youth Bulges and Social Disorder: An Empirical Study of Asian and Sub-Saharan African CitiesOslo, 4–5 December.

Urdal, Henrik; Gudrun Østby & S. Mansoob Murshed (2007) Population Pressure, Inequality and Political Violence: A Disaggregated Study of Indonesian Provinces, 1990-2003, presented at Polarization and Conflict, Palma de Mallorca, 10–12 December.

Østby, Gudrun & Henrik Urdal (2007) Population Pressure, Inequality and Political Violence: A Disaggregated Study of Indonesian Provinces, 1990–2003, presented at the 48th Annual Metting of the International Studies Association, Chicago, IL, 28 February – 3 March.

Urdal, Henrik (2006) Population, Resources and Political Violence: A Sub-National Study of India 1956-2002. Previously Presented to the 2004 Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, Montreal.Montreal, 17–20 March.

Raleigh, Clionadh & Henrik Urdal (2006) Climate Change, Environmental Degradation and Armed Conflict, presented at the 47th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association (ISA), San Diego, CA, 22–25 March.

Urdal, Henrik & Håvard Strand (2005) Differential Growth, Political Instability and Violent Conflict, presented at the 46th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, Honolulu, HI, 1–5 March.

Urdal, Henrik & Clionadh Raleigh (2005) Climate Change, Environmental Degradation and Armed Conflict, presented at the workshop on ‘Human Security and Climate Change’, Oslo, 22–23 June.

Urdal, Henrik (2004) Demographic Change, Resource Scarcity and Violent Conflict: The Case of India, presented at the 45th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, Montreal, 17–20 March.

PRIO Policy Brief

Østby, Gudrun & Henrik Urdal (2011) Education and Conflict: What the Evidence Says, CSCW Policy Brief, 2. Oslo: PRIO.

PRIO Paper

Urdal, Henrik (2008) Urban Social Disorder in Asia and Africa: Report on a New Dataset, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.

Report - External Series

Urdal, Henrik (2010) The Impact of War on the Health of Women and Men – What Do We Know?, Human Security Report 2010. Oslo.

Østby, Gudrun; & Henrik Urdal (2010) Education and Civil Conflict: A Review of the Quantitative, Empirical Literature, Background paper for the Education for All Global Monitoring Report 2011, The hidden crisis: armed conflict and education. Oslo: UNESCO.

Hoelscher, Kristian; & Henrik Urdal (2009) Urban Youth Bulges and Social Disorder: An Empirical Study of Asian and Sub-Saharan African Cities, Policy Research Working Paper, 110. Washington, DC.

Barakat, Bilal; & Henrik Urdal (2009) Breaking the Waves? Does Education Mediate the Relationship Between Youth Bulges and Political Violence?, Policy Research Working Paper, 114. Washington, DC: The World Bank.

Urdal, Henrik (2004) The Devil in the Demographics: The Effect of Youth Bulges on Domestic Armed Conflict, 1950-2000, Social Development Papers. Washington, DC.