Håvard Hegre

Research Professor

Håvard Hegre
Email: Hhegre@prio.org
Mobile phone: 940 33 948

Background

Also see www.viewsforecasting.org -- pages presenting the VIEWS early-warning system, as well as the pages for ANTICIPATE and Societies at Risk.

Working experience

Dag Hammarskiöld Professor in Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University (2013–2022)
Research Professor, PRIO (2005– )
Associate Editor, Journal of Peace Research (2004–2006, 2010– )
Member of Journal of Peace Research editorial committee (1999– )
Member of editorial board Political Science Research and Methods (2012– )
Member of editorial board International Studies Review (2013– )
Researcher, PRIO (1999–2001, 2003–2005)
Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Oslo (2008–2012)
University fellow, Department of Political Science, University of Oslo (2000–2001, 2003–2004)
Economist, The World Bank (2001–2003)
Research Assistant, PRIO (1989, and 1991–1999)
Managing Editor, Journal of Peace Research (1990–91)

Education

  • Dr. Philos in Political Science, University of Oslo (November 2004)

  • Cand.polit. in Political Science, University of Oslo (August 1999)

  • Cand.mag, University of Oslo in Musicology, History of Ideas, Computer Science, and Statistics (1995).

    • Events

    PRIO started tracking events online in 2007. This listing is not complete. Past events may be mentioned in our news archive.

    Publications

    The following publications are specific to the Centre for the Study of Civil War. A more complete list may be available at www.prio.org.

    All Publications

    Peer-reviewed Journal Article

    Strand, Håvard; Henrik Urdal; Håvard Hegre; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Joakim Karlsen (2013) Predicting Armed Conflict, 2010–2050, International Studies Quarterly 57(2): 250–270.
    Hegre, Håvard; Scott Gates; Håvard Strand & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2012) Development Consequences of Armed Conflict, World Development 40(9): 1713–1722.
    Hegre, Håvard; Lisa Hultman & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2011) Simulating the Effect of Peacekeeping Operations 2010–2035, Lecture Notes in Computer Science 6589: 325–332.
    Russett, Bruce M.; Håvard Hegre & John R. Oneal (2010) Trade Does Promote Peace: New Simultaneous Estimates of the Reciprocal Effects of Trade and Conflict, Journal of Peace Research 47(6): 763–774.
    Hegre, Håvard; Andrew Linke; Clionadh Raleigh & Joakim Karlsen (2010) Introducing ACLED: An Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset: Special Data Feature, Journal of Peace Research 47(5): 651–660.
    Hegre, Håvard & Clionadh Raleigh (2009) Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War: A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis, Political Geography 28(4): 224–238.
    Hegre, Håvard (2009) Trade Dependence or Size Dependence?: The Gravity Model of Trade and the Liberal Peace, Conflict Management and Peace Science 26(1): 26–45.
    Østby, Gudrun; Håvard Hegre & Clionadh Raleigh (2009) Poverty and Civil War Events: A Disaggregated Study of Liberia, Journal of Conflict Resolution 53(4): 298–623.
    Hegre, Håvard (2008) Gravitating toward War: Preponderance May Pacify, but Power Kills, Journal of Conflict Resolution 52(4): 566–589.
    Milante, Gary; Håvard Hegre & Ibrahim Elbadawi (2008) Introduction: The Aftermath of Civil War, Journal of Peace Research 45(4): 451–459.
    Hegre, Håvard (2008) Polarization and Interstate Conflict, Journal of Peace Research 45(2): 261–282.
    Hegre, Håvard & Ibrahim Elbadawi (2008) Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Internal Armed Conflict, Defence and Peace Economics 19(1): 37–60.
    Hegre, Håvard; Håvard Strand; Scott Gates & Mark P. Jones (2006) Institutional Inconsistency and Political Instability: Polity Duration, 1800-2000, American Journal of Political Science 50(4): 893–908.
    Sambanis, Nicholas & Håvard Hegre (2006) Sensitivity Analysis of the Empirical Literature on Civil War Onset, Journal of Conflict Resolution 50(4): 508–535.
    Owen, Taylor; Kathryn Furlong; Bethany Ann Lacina; Håvard Hegre & Nils Petter Gleditsch (2006) Conflicts over Shared Rivers: Resource Wars or Fuzzy Boundaries?, Political Geography 25(4): 361–382.
    Furlong, Kathryn; Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Hegre (2006) Geographic Opportunity and Neomalthusian Willingness: Boundaries, Shared Rivers, and Conflict, International Interactions 32(1): 79–108.
    Hegre, Håvard (2005) Development and the Liberal Peace, Nordic Journal of Political Economy 31(1): 17–46.
    Hegre, Håvard (2005) Identifying How Trade Matters in Empirical Studies of Interstate Conflict, Conflict Management and Peace Science 22(3): 217–224.
    Hegre, Håvard (2004) Size Asymmetry, Trade, and Militarized Conflict, Journal of Conflict Resolution 48(3): 403–429.
    Hegre, Håvard; Michael Mousseau & John R. Oneal (2003) How the Wealth of Nations Conditions the Liberal Peace, European Journal of International Relations 9(2): 277–314.

    PhD Thesis

    Hegre, Håvard (2004) The Limits of the Liberal Peace. PhD thesis, Supervisors: Jon Hovi, UiO (defended 6 November 2004. Committee: John R. Oneal, Erik Gartzke, and Knut Midgaard), University of Oslo, Oslo.

    Monograph

    Sambanis, Nicholas; Marta Reynal-Querol; Lani Elliott; Anke Hoeffler; Paul Collier & Håvard Hegre (2003) Breaking the Conflict Trap: Civil War and Development Policy. New York: World Bank Publications. New Policy Research Report.

    Book Chapter

    Hegre, Håvard & Helge Holtermann (2013) Poverty and Conflict, in Elgar Handbook of Civil War and Fragile States. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing (39–58).
    Fjelde, Hanne & Håvard Hegre (2009) Democratization and Post-Conflict Transitions, in Jonathan Wilkenfeld, ed., Peace and Conflict 2010. University of Maryland and Boulder: The Center for International Development and Conflict Management (CIDCM) (79–90).
    Gleditsch, Nils Petter; Håvard Hegre & Håvard Strand (2009) Democracy and Civil War, in Handbook of War Studies III. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press (155–192).
    Hegre, Håvard & Hanne Fjelde (2009) Post-Conflict Democracy and Conflict Recurrence, in Jonathan Wilkenfeld, ed., Peace and Conflict 2010. Boulder: Paradigm Publishers (79–90).
    Hegre, Håvard & Nils Petter Gleditsch (2008) Paqja dhe demokracia [Peace and Democracy], in Bjørn Erik Rasch, ed., Demokracia – kushtet dhe pasojat. Prishtina: (279–301).
    Hegre, Håvard; Nils Petter Gleditsch; Scott Gates & Tanja Ellingsen (2005) Towards a Democratic Civil Peace, in War. Library of International Relations. London: (165–193).
    Gleditsch, Nils Petter & Håvard Hegre (2004) En globalisert verden – økt kaos eller varig fred? [A Globalized World – Increased Chaos or Lasting Peace?], in Åpen verden. Et forsvar for globaliseringen. Oslo: (250–263).
    Gleditsch, Nils Petter & Håvard Hegre (2004) Fred og demokrati [Peace and Democracy], in Demokrati – vilkår og virkninger. Oslo & Bergen: (293–322).
    Hegre, Håvard (2003) Development and the Liberal Peace: What Does It Take to Be a Trading State?, in Globalization and Conflict. Lanham, MD: (201–228).

    Non-refereed Journal Article

    Urdal, Henrik; Håvard Strand; Halvard Buhaug; Scott Gates & Håvard Hegre (2009) Nils Petter Gleditsch: A Lifetime Achiever, European Political Science 8(1): 79–89.
    Hegre, Håvard (2008) Svar til Elster [Response to Elster], Nytt Norsk Tidsskrift 25(4): 394–396.
    Hegre, Håvard (2008) Elster på tomgang [Elster on Autopilot], Nytt Norsk Tidsskrift 25(1): 90–93.
    Hegre, Håvard (2005) Identifying How Trade Matters. A Rejoinder, Conflict Management and Peace Science 22(3): 235–237.
    Hegre, Håvard (2004) The Duration and Termination of Civil War [Introduction], Journal of Peace Research 41(3): 243–252.

    Popular Article

    Hegre, Håvard (2004) De langvarige borgerkrigene [The Duration of Civil Wars], Dagbladet, 17 September.
    Hegre, Håvard (2004) Kampen mot borgerkriger [Fighting Civil Wars], Dagbladet, 8 September.

    Conference Paper

    Gates, Scott; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Håvard Hegre & Håvard Strand (2010) Arab Exceptionalism -- How I Stopped Worrying and Learned to Trust my Secret PoliceFort Worth, TX, 21–23 Oct.
    Hultman, Lisa; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Håvard Hegre (2010) Evaluating the Conflict Reducing Effects of UN Peace-Keeping OperationsWashington, DC, 1–5 September.
    Hegre, Håvard; Henrik Urdal & Håvard Strand (2008) The Future of Armed Conflict: Predicting the Incidence of Conflict, 2007-2030San Francisco, CA, 26–29 March.
    Hegre, Håvard & Joakim Karlsen (2007) Simulating the Evolution of Global Democracy Levels, presented at the 48th International Studies Association conference, Trondheim, 3–5 January.
    Raleigh, Clionadh; Gudrun Østby & Håvard Hegre (2007) Economic Deprivation and Civil War Events: A Disaggregated Study of Liberia, presented at the 48th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, Chicago, IL, 28 February–3 March.
    Karlsen, Joakim & Håvard Hegre (2007) Simulating the Evolution of Global Democracy Levels, presented at the 48th Annual Metting of the International Studies Association, Chicago, IL, 28 February–3 March.
    Hegre, Håvard & Hanne Fjelde (2007) Democracy Depraved: Corruption and Institutional Change 1985–2000, presented at Statsvitenskaplig Fagkonferanse, Trondheim, 3–5 January.
    Fjelde, Hanne & Håvard Hegre (2007) Democracy Depraved: Corruption and Institutional Change 1985–2004, presented at the 48th Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Chicago, IL, 28 February–3 March.
    Strand, Håvard; Mark P. Jones; Håvard Hegre & Scott Gates (2007) Democratic Waves? War, New States, and Global Patterns of Democratization, 1800 –2000, presented at Statsvitenskaplig Fagkonferanse, Trondheim, 3–5 March.
    Hegre, Håvard; Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Strand (2007) Democracy and Civil War, presented at Statsvitenskaplig Fagkonferanse, Trondheim, 3–5 January.
    Hegre, Håvard; Ibrahim Elbadawi & Gary Milante (2007) How Civil War Alters the Chances of Democratization and Democratic Stability, presented at Conference on Management of Post-Conflict Transition: The Challenges of Institutional Reform, Khartoum, Sudan, 22–24 January.
    Gleditsch, Nils Petter; Lene Siljeholm Christiansen & Håvard Hegre (2007) Democratic Jihad? Military Intervention and Democracy, presented at Post-Conflict Transitions Conference, World Bank, Washington, DC, 30 April–1 May.
    Hegre, Håvard; Clionadh Raleigh & Gudrun Østby (2007) Economic Deprivation and Civil War Events: A Disaggregated Study of LiberiaGaillac, France, 7–9 June.
    Fjelde, Hanne & Håvard Hegre (2006) Democracy Depraved. Corruption and Institutional Change 1985-2000, presented at the Peace Science Society's Annual Meeting, Columbus, OH, 20 November.
    Raleigh, Clionadh & Håvard Hegre (2005) Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War: A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis, presented at the Polarization and Conflict (PAC) Summer Meeting, Konstanz, 2–5 June.
    Hegre, Håvard & Clionadh Raleigh (2005) Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War. A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis, presented at the Summer Meeting of the Polarization and Conflict Project, Konstanz, Germany, 2–5 June.
    Hegre, Håvard (2005) Polarization and Interstate Conflict, presented at Polarization and Conflict (PAC) Winter meeting, Milan, 16­–17 December.
    Hegre, Håvard (2005) Gravitating Toward War. The Gravity Model of Trade and the Liberal Peace, presented at the 3rd General Conference of the European Consortium of Political Research, Budapest, 8–10 September.
    Hegre, Håvard; Lene Siljeholm Christiansen & Nils Petter Gleditsch (2004) Democratic Jihad? Military Intervention and Democracy, presented at 45th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, Montreal, 17–20 March.
    Hegre, Håvard (2004) Refugee Flows and the Spread of Civil War, presented at Resources, Governance Structures, and Civil War, Uppsala, 13–18 April.
    Hegre, Håvard; Nils Petter Gleditsch & Lene Siljeholm Christiansen (2004) Democratic Jihad? Military Intervention and Democracy, presented at Joint Sessions of Workshops, Uppsala, 13–18 April.
    Strøm, Kaare & Håvard Hegre (2004) Conceptions of Democracy in the Study of Civil Conflict, presented at the 45th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, Montreal, 17–20 March.
    Sambanis, Nicholas & Håvard Hegre (2004) Sensitivity Analysis of the Empirical Literature on Civil War Onset, presented at a meeting of the Polarization and Conflict network, Voksenåsen, Oslo, 2–4 July.
    Hegre, Håvard & Ibrahim Elbadawi (2004) Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Armed Conflict, presented at a conference on ‘Globalization, Territoriality and Conflict’, University of California, San Diego, 16–18 January.
    Christiansen, Lene Siljeholm; Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Hegre (2004) Democratic Jihad? Military Intervention and Democratic, presented at Workshop on 'Democratic Institutions and Processes and Civil War', Bellagio, Italy, 7–9 June.

    PRIO Paper

    Strand, Håvard; Halvard Buhaug & Håvard Hegre (2010) Sensitivity Analysis of Climate Variability and Civil War, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.

    Report - Other

    Gates, Scott; Halvard Buhaug; Håvard Hegre; & Håvard Strand (2007) Global Trends in Armed Conflict, Globale Norge - hva nå?. Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
    Gleditsch, Nils Petter; Håvard Hegre; & Scott Gates (2004) Towards a Global Civil Peace, background note to the United Nations Foundation. .
    Elliott, Lani; Håvard Hegre; Paul Collier; Nicholas Sambanis; Anke Hoeffler; & Marta Reynal-Querol (2003) Breaking the Conflict Trap: Civil War and Development Policy, World Bank Policy Research Report, 56793. Washington, DC: World Bank.

    Report - External Series

    Gates, Scott; Håvard Hegre; Marianne Dahl; & Håvard Strand (2012) Why Waves? Global Patterns of Democratization, Working paper. .
    Fjelde, Hanne; & Håvard Hegre (2011) Political Corruption and Institutional Stability, Working paper. .
    Perez, Maria Ortiz; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Vito Intini; Youssef Chaitani; & Håvard Hegre (2011) The Governance Deficit and Conflict Relapse in the ESCWA Region: An Overview, UN Doc E/ESCWA/ECRI/2011/1, 25 August. Beirut: UN ESCWA.
    Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv; & Håvard Hegre (2011) The Governance-Conflict Trap in the ESCWA Region, Background paper for UN study The Governance Deficit and Conflict Relapse in the ESCWA Region. Beirut.
    Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv; Håvard Strand; Scott Gates; & Håvard Hegre (2010) Consequences of Civil War, Background paper for World Development Report 2011. .
    Hegre, Håvard (2008) The Nature and Causes of Violent Conflicts in Africa, Background paper for African Development Report 2008. .
    Chauvet, Lisa; Paul Collier; & Håvard Hegre (2008) The Security Challenge in Conflict-Prone Countries. A Challenge Paper for the Copenhagen Consensus, Copenhagen Consensus Conflicts Challenge Papers. .
    Hegre, Håvard; Lene Siljeholm Christiansen; & Nils Petter Gleditsch (2007) Democratic Jihad? Military Intervention and Democracy, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, 4242. .

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